Is Kona’s Condo Market Cooling Off or Holding Steady? Let’s Look at the Numbers

lance • July 22, 2025

Is Kona’s Condo Market Cooling Off or Holding Steady? Let’s Look at the Numbers

As of June 30, 2025, we’ve seen 163 condos sold year-to-date in the Kona market. That’s across the first six months of the year, averaging about 27 units per month. Meanwhile, 169 condo units are currently active on the market.

That gives us an absorption rate of 16.1%.

If you’re not familiar with the term, absorption rate is a key metric we use to gauge how fast the market is moving. It compares how many homes are selling to how many are currently for sale.

Here’s what the numbers mean in simple terms:

  • Under 15% absorption is typically a buyer’s market — lots of inventory, slower sales.
  • 15–20% is a balanced market — neither buyers nor sellers have a major edge.
  • Over 20% often signals a seller’s market, with fast-moving inventory and strong demand.

So at just over 16%, Kona’s condo market is sitting in that middle zone — balanced, but showing signs of softening compared to earlier this year.

We also looked at June alone, where 26 condos sold. That monthly absorption rate comes in at 15.4%, consistent with the year-to-date trend.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, this is welcome news. More choices, a little more negotiation power, and less competition than the frenzy we saw in previous years.

For sellers, it means pricing correctly matters more than ever. Condos that are clean, well-marketed, and priced right are still moving — but the days of multiple offers in 24 hours aren’t the norm right now.

If you’re watching the market or planning your next move — whether it’s buying your first condo, upsizing, or selling your investment — let’s talk. I’ll give you the real numbers, straight up.

No hype. Just the facts.

By lance July 23, 2025
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By Kona Home Team (LUVA LLC) Lance Owens (RB-24133), 2024 Real Estate Expert - Hawaii Island (Kona Home Team (luva llc)) April 24, 2025
Today’s Inman News headline reads:“Existing-home sales fall to slowest pace since 2009 amid rising costs.”That may be true nationally—but not here in North Kona.While the mainland sees pullbacks, our local data paints a different picture. From January through March 2025, both home and condo sales in North Kona are up—eclipsing 2024, 2009, and even 2008 numbers.📊 North Kona YTD Sales (Jan 1–Mar 31): 2008: 69 Homes | 47 Condos 2009: 42 Homes | 33 Condos 2024: 104 Homes | 67 Condos 2025: 107 Homes | 82 Condos This isn’t just a rebound—it’s sustained confidence. Buyers are still buying. Sellers are still selling. And the market is still moving.It’s a powerful reminder that real estate is local. National headlines don’t always reflect what’s happening in our neighborhoods, our communities, or right here on the Big Island.Want the real story—not the national spin? Talk to someone who’s lived and worked it.With 21 years of boots-on-the-ground experience in the North Kona market, I’ve seen every shift, surge, and slowdown (even volcano related) . Let’s talk about what’s really happening—and how it affects your next move.Aloha,Lance Owens RB-24133  808.936.8383 LUVA Real Estate | 75-240 Nani Kailua #8, Kailua Kona, HI 96740        REALTOR® / BROKER-IN-CHARGE • Residential homes, Condos, Land, Agricultural/ Equestrian/Large Acreage Hawaii Association of REALTORS® (HAR)      2025 President | 2023/24 State RPAC Chair     2023 HARLA Graduate National Association of REALTORS® (NAR)      2023-25 Director | 2024-25 RPAC Participation Council | Safety Advisory Committee | Region 13 Leadership NAR Designations       AWHD (At Home With Diversity) | PSA ( Pricing Strategy Advisor) West Hawaii Association of REALTORS® (WHAR)     2023 REALTOR® of the Year | 2018/2022 Preside
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